ESPN FPI after week 1

Photo via footballscoop.com

After the first week of college football ESPN FPI has changed their numbers on who they believe will win each game. WKU is now favored in 3 of the remaining 11 games (UAB, ODU, and Charlotte). This is the only metric that we have to see where the computer believe the winner will be.

  • Week 2 at FIU was 27.9% now 28.7%
  • Week 3 vs Louisville was 33.2% now 23.4%
  • Week 4 vs UAB was 65.3% now 70.2%
  • Week 5 at ODU was 79.2% now 78.1%
  • Week 6 vs Army was 42.6% now 40.8%
  • Week 7 vs Charlotte was 79.2% now 71.7%
  • Week 8 at Marshall was 27.2% now 19.2%
  • Week 9 vs FAU was 54.2% now 42.1%
  • Week 10 at Arkansas was 22.4% now 22.9%
  • Week 11 Southern Miss was 34.0% now 24.8%
  • Week 12 vs MTSU was 63.4% now 40.7%

If this was the way it was to play out how would you view the season?

ESPN’s FPI Prediction For WKU Football

Photo via @WKUFootball on twitter

 ESPN’s FPI (football power index) gives each game a percentage chance of both teams and who they believe will win from statistics. So I will go game by game and give what ESPN believes what WKU chances are to win.

  • Week 1 vs Central Arkansas 89.7%
  • Week 2 at FIU 27.9%
  • Week 3 vs Louisville 33.2%
  • Week 4 vs UAB 65.3%
  • Week 5 at ODU 79.2%
  • Week 6 vs Army 42.6%
  • Week 7 vs Charlotte 79.2%
  • Week 8 at Marshall 27.2%
  • Week 9 vs FAU 54.2%
  • Week 10 at Arkansas 22.4%
  • Week 11 Southern Mississippi 34.0%
  • Week 12 vs Middle Tennessee 63.4%

If the games went as the ESPN FPI says we would see a 6-6 record, with this record we would find the team in a bowl game. This would be a great advancement from where WKU Football was a season ago. These percentages change before each game and during each game to give a better idea of who sound win based on statistics.